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07.07.2025 06:15 AM
2025年7月7日美元/日元預測

美元/日圓在受到強勁的美國勞動力市場數據推動,使報價升至平衡指標線上方後,上漲126點。然而,上週五該貨幣對收盤於該線下方。今天開始,日圓顯示出明顯的增強,這顯示投資者再次更加關注國內政策因素。日本正在準備針對特朗普宣布的35%日本商品新關稅進行報復性措施,而日本央行可能會推遲其下一次加息。當前,投資者仍將日圓視為安全資產。若跌破143.77的目標支撐水平,將打開通往142.13-142.40目標區間的道路。

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週四,Marlin振盪指標的信號線從中性零線向下轉折。然而,即使價格向目標區域移動,也不意味著完全趨勢逆轉。為此,價格需要跌破位於141.40的MACD線。這可能解釋了為什麼價格仍然在近六位數的較大範圍內相對自由地波動。
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在四小時圖上,價格在7月3日短暫假突破MACD線之後,又回跌到該線下方。Marlin震盪指標顯示,甚至在價格測試143.77的支撐位之前,震盪指標就已經準備進入負區域。這表明震盪指標提供了前導確認,顯示短期下行趨勢。

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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