empty
 
 
05.08.2025 11:43 AM
XAU/USD. Analysis and Forecast

This image is no longer relevant

On Tuesday, gold continues its sideways consolidation but remains near the two-week high reached the day before. The U.S. dollar is regaining ground, partially recovering losses from Friday's session caused by weaker-than-expected U.S. employment data.

This image is no longer relevant
This rebound in the dollar is a key factor capping the upside for gold prices. Additionally, the currently dominant risk appetite in the market limits the potential for further gains in this safe-haven asset.

However, a strong dollar rally appears unlikely, as market participants continue to expect the Federal Reserve to begin a new rate-cutting cycle in September. These expectations are supported by signs of deterioration in the U.S. labor market. As a result, this continues to provide some support to gold prices, preventing a sharp decline. Moreover, lingering uncertainty in trade relations contributes to limiting downside pressure on the precious metal.

China and the U.S.—the world's two largest economies—have yet to reach a final agreement on trade issues. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that the decision to extend the 90-day tariff truce, which expires at the end of the month, will be made personally by President Donald Trump. This uncertainty continues to keep investors on edge and may support demand for safe-haven assets.

From a technical perspective, Friday's breakout above the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the $3335 resistance level, followed by continued strength, favors the bulls. Moreover, daily chart oscillators are gaining positive momentum, confirming a bullish outlook. Therefore, any further pullback below the immediate support at $3365—where the price is currently hovering—could be viewed as a buying opportunity, with downside likely limited to the $3350–3349 area. A break below this zone, however, would expose gold to accelerated losses toward intermediate support at $3330–3315, en route to the psychological level of $3300.

On the other hand, yesterday's high around $3385 is the nearest barrier before the $3400 psychological level. A sustained move above that could pave the way for further gains toward the next key resistance near $3435. Bullish momentum may then strengthen further, lifting XAU/USD toward its all-time high around the $3500 psychological level, last reached in April.

Irina Yanina,
InstaForex के विश्लेषणात्मक विशेषज्ञ
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Irina Yanina
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    कॉन्टेस्ट में हिस्सा लें
  • चैन्सी डिपॉजिट
    $ 3,000 के साथ अपना खाता जमा करें और प्राप्त करें $1000 अधिक!
    में अगस्त हम आकर्षित करते हैं $1000 चैंसी डिपॉज़िट में
    ट्रेडिंग अकाउंट में $ 3,000 जमा करके जीतने का अवसर प्राप्त करें इस शर्त को पूरा करके आप प्रतियोगिता में भाग ले सकते हैं
    कॉन्टेस्ट में हिस्सा लें
  • ट्रेड वाइज़, विन डिवाइस
    कम से कम $500 के साथ अपने खाते में टॉप अप करें, कॉन्टेस्ट के लिए साइन अप करें और मोबाइल डिवाइस जीतने का मौका पाएं।
    कॉन्टेस्ट में हिस्सा लें
  • 100% बोनस
    अपनी जमा राशि पर 100% बोनस प्राप्त करने का आपका अनूठा अवसर
    बोनस पायें
  • 55% बोनस
    अपनी प्रत्येक डिपॉजिट पर 55% बोनस के लिए आवेदन करें
    बोनस पायें
  • 30% बोनस
    हर बार खाता टॉप अप करने पर 30% बोनस प्राप्त करें
    बोनस पायें

अनुशंसित लेख

अभी बात नहीं कर सकते?
अपना प्रश्न पूछें बातचीत.
Widget callback