07.10.202503:25:25UTC+00Australia 10-Year Yield Hits Near 5-Week High

Australia's 10-year government bond yield increased to approximately 4.41%, marking its highest point in nearly five weeks. This rise reflects a shift in investor sentiment, scaling back expectations of imminent rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). This development follows the central bank's recent decision to maintain current rates, while cautioning that inflation could remain high in the upcoming quarters, thereby potentially eliminating the possibility of further monetary easing. Adding to the inflation concerns, the monthly inflation gauge showed an increase in September following a decline in August. Currently, futures markets are predicting only a 40% probability of a 25-basis-point cut to the 3.65% cash rate in November, a significant drop from the near certainty anticipated just a month ago. Market participants are now closely monitoring upcoming remarks from RBA officials and the release of October's consumer inflation expectations for additional insights into future monetary policy directions.