2025.09.0217:00:00UTC+00Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow Forecast Slips as Growth in Third Quarter Slows

The Atlanta Federal Reserve's GDPNow model has revised its growth estimate for the United States economy in the third quarter of 2025, unveiling a slight dip to 3.0% from the previous forecast of 3.5%. This change, updated on September 2, signals a moderated pace of economic expansion as the quarter progresses.

The GDPNow forecasting model is a real-time model that estimates the official GDP growth rate ahead of its release and is highly regarded as an indicator of economic momentum. The reduction from 3.5% to 3.0% may reflect a myriad of economic dynamics including consumer spending trends, business investments, or external factors impacting the domestic market.

While the prediction suggests tempered economic growth, market analysts often look to such updates as cues for potential adjustments in monetary policy or investment strategies. As businesses and policymakers digest this information, the slightly reduced forecast remains emblematic of a stable yet cautious economic environment in the United States. Further updates from the GDPNow model are anticipated with keen interest as the Fed continues to gauge economic resilience amid evolving global conditions.