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09.07.2025 12:00 PM
NZD/USD:分析、預測及當前市場狀況
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目前,紐元/美元貨幣對的交易價位在0.6000的心理關口之上;然而,由於美元整體強勢,該對仍易於下跌。

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美元指數受到預期影響,即美國加徵關稅將加劇通脹壓力,推動聯邦儲備局保持觀望態度。此外,對美國貿易政策經濟後果的擔憂影響了投資者情緒,進一步加強了美元作為避險資產的地位,並對包括紐元在內的風險敏感貨幣施加壓力。

從技術角度看,紐元/美元貨幣對跌破4小時圖上的100期簡單移動均線是重要的看空信號。同一時間框架上的負面振盪器證實了正在進行的修正。

然而,在開立新的空頭頭寸之前,需要跌破0.5975水平。在這種情況下,該貨幣對可能會加速下跌,接近暫時支撐位0.5940,隨後是心理支撐位0.5900,然後是6月份低點附近的0.5880。

如果嘗試回升,阻力位預計在0.6021,即200-SMA所在之處。若突破此水平,將為進一步邁向下一阻力位0.6060開闢道路。進一步上漲則可能使該貨幣對突破0.6100水平,並重測年度高點0.6120附近。穩定攀升至此水平以上將被視為趨勢向上逆轉的信號,為持續增長開闢前景。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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