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05.05.2025 05:35 PM
USD/CHF:分析和預測
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USD/CHF貨幣對在新週開始時依舊承壓,連續第二天吸引賣家,受多種因素影響。然而,即期價格依然在過去兩週觀察到的熟悉範圍內波動。

NFP(非農就業報告)將美聯儲降息25個基點的預期從6月推遲到7月。與關稅和特朗普政策相關的經濟不確定性持續對美元施壓,促使投資者偏好瑞士法郎等安全資產。

特朗普對中國的快速轉變貿易政策繼續在市場中引發不確定性。此外,中東衝突的升級再次推升了地緣政治風險。投資者保持謹慎,這也影響了其風險偏好。

儘管如此,鑒於本週將迎來重要的央行事件,尤其是週三美聯儲為期兩天會議結束後的利率決策,投資者不願積極拋售美元。今日美國ISM服務業PMI的發佈被視為一個潛在的短期交易機會。

從技術角度來看,該貨幣對的最近阻力位於0.8275水準,其次是0.8340。然而,只要日線圖的震盪指標仍然牢牢處於負區間,則USD/CHF貨幣對的最低阻力路徑將指向下行。

若果斷跌破0.8200的心理水準,將加速跌向下一支撐位0.8189。未能守住這一區域可能導致更深的損失,甚至可能重新回到四月的低位。

Irina Yanina,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
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