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25.08.2025 10:16 AM
The Death Cross intersection of the two EMAs in USD/JPY indicates potential weakness in this major currency pair. Monday, August 25, 2025.

[USD/JPY] – [Monday, August 25, 2025]

With the appearance of Hidden Divergence on the RSI indicator and the Death Cross on both EMAs, USD/JPY has the potential to weaken today.

Key Levels

1. Resistance 2: 149.62.

2. Resistance 1: 148.28.

3. Pivot: 147.43.

4. Support 1: 149.09.

5. Support 2: 145.24.

Tactical Scenario

Pressure Risk Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 147.43, USD/JPY has the potential to continue its decline to test its nearest support level at 149.09.

Momentum Extension Bias: If 149.09 is successfully broken and closes below it, USD/JPY has the potential to continue its decline to 145.24.

Invalidation Level / Bias Revision

Downside bias is maintained if the price strengthens again and breaks through and closes above 149.62.

Technical Summary

EMA(50): 147.56.

EMA(200): 147.70.

RSI(14): 51.05 + Hidden Divergence.

Economic News Release Agenda:

Today, there are only economic data releases from the United States, such as: US - New Home Sales - 21:00 WIB

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Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Arief Makmur
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